Pair #2291

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-SPOW

Valspar Championship: Will Seamus Power finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Seamus Power
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1758

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seamus Power finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-SPOW

Valspar Championship: Will Seamus Power finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Seamus Power
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1882

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 0.5900
Last: 0.4300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seamus Power finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:03:19Z

Reasoning: If Power finishes top 10, he must also be in the top 20. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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