Pair #229

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-CHI

Will Chicago Blackhawks win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Chicago Blackhawks
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 8530

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-CHI

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Chicago Blackhawks
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 6439

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chicago Blackhawks wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:17Z

Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Finals does not require winning the Central Division (wild card or other division winners can advance). Winning the Central Division does not imply winning the Western Conference Finals.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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