Pair #2276

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR3LEAD-VAC26-CBLA

Will Chandler Blanchet lead at the end of Round 3 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 640

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-CBLA

Will Chandler Blanchet win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 498190

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:03:02Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament does not require leading after Round 3 (a player could come from behind in Round 4). Leading after Round 3 does not guarantee winning. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue