Pair #2273

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-CBLA

Valspar Championship: Will Chandler Blanchet finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9254

YES ask: 0.3600
NO ask: 0.6600
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-CBLA

Valspar Championship: Will Chandler Blanchet finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11347

YES ask: 0.7000
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:02:45Z

Reasoning: If Blanchet finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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