Pair #2270

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-DGHI

Will Doug Ghim win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Doug Ghim
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 527525

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Doug Ghim wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-DGHI

Valspar Championship: Will Doug Ghim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Doug Ghim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6235

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Doug Ghim finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:02:45Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which necessarily places Ghim inside the top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue