Pair #2257

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-DLIP

Will David Lipsky win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: David Lipsky
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1183137

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.1200

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Rules

If David Lipsky wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-DLIP

Valspar Championship: Will David Lipsky finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: David Lipsky
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12194

YES ask: 0.6400
NO ask: 0.3700
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Lipsky finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:02:28Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily top 5. Finishing top 5 does not guarantee a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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