Pair #2255

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-DLIP

Valspar Championship: Will David Lipsky finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: David Lipsky
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12194

YES ask: 0.6400
NO ask: 0.3700
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules If David Lipsky finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-DLIP

Valspar Championship: Will David Lipsky finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: David Lipsky
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11805

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If David Lipsky finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:02:28Z

Reasoning: If David Lipsky finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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