Pair #2220

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-KHIR

Valspar Championship: Will Kensei Hirata finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kensei Hirata
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1716

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kensei Hirata finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-KHIR

Valspar Championship: Will Kensei Hirata finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kensei Hirata
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 693

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kensei Hirata finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:01:36Z

Reasoning: If Hirata finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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