Pair #2218

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-KHIR

Valspar Championship: Will Kensei Hirata finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Kensei Hirata
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 346

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kensei Hirata finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-KHIR

Valspar Championship: Will Kensei Hirata finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kensei Hirata
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 693

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kensei Hirata finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:01:36Z

Reasoning: If Hirata finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue