Pair #2207

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-KYU

Valspar Championship: Will Kevin Yu finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kevin Yu
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6633

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Yu finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-KYU

Valspar Championship: Will Kevin Yu finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kevin Yu
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4212

YES ask: 0.5300
NO ask: 0.4800
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Yu finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:01:19Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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