KXNHL-26-WSH
Will Washington Capitals win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Washington Capitals
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 250305
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-26-WSH
Will Washington Capitals win the NHL Metropolitan Division?
Series: KXNHLMETROPOLITAN
Entity: Washington Capitals
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 3859
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:00Z
Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup does not require winning the Metropolitan Division — a team can win the Cup as a wild card or division runner-up. Winning the Metropolitan Division does not mean winning the Cup. No logical implication in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-11.40%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
30
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-15.62%
BELOW HURDLE
Not yet reviewed.
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