Pair #2192

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-CPHI

Valspar Championship: Will Chandler Phillips finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chandler Phillips
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2542

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Phillips finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-CPHI

Valspar Championship: Will Chandler Phillips finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chandler Phillips
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3402

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Phillips finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:01:05Z

Reasoning: If Chandler Phillips finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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