Pair #2178

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-LHOD

Valspar Championship: Will Lee Hodges finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7199

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lee Hodges finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-LHOD

Valspar Championship: Will Lee Hodges finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19026

YES ask: 0.3100
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lee Hodges finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: If Hodges finishes top 10, he necessarily also finishes top 20. The reverse is not true (could finish 11th-20th).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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