Pair #2176

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-ISAL

Valspar Championship: Will Isaiah Salinda finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8027

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Isaiah Salinda finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-ISAL

Valspar Championship: Will Isaiah Salinda finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 24169

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8300
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Isaiah Salinda finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: If Salinda finishes top 10, he necessarily also finishes top 20. The reverse is not true (could finish 11th-20th).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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