Pair #2173

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 727086

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-BDEC

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 223

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: If DeChambeau wins the LIV Golf South Africa, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily top 10. The reverse is not true (could finish top 10 without winning).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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