Pair #2172

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-BDEC

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 223

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-BDEC

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 8434

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: LIV Golf South Africa is not one of the four major tournaments. A top-10 finish there has no logical bearing on finishing top 10 in all four majors, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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