Pair #2171

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-BDEC

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 223

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 18818648

YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9930
Last: 0.0080

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: These are completely independent events — one is a LIV Golf tournament finish, the other is winning the Masters. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0280
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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