Pair #2170

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-BDEC

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2316

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.7600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-BDEC

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 223

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: If DeChambeau finishes top 5, he necessarily also finishes top 10. The reverse is not true (could finish 6th-10th).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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