Pair #217

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-STL

Will St. Louis Blues win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: St. Louis Blues
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 6487

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If the St. Louis Blues win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-STL

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: St. Louis Blues
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 29933

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If St. Louis Blues wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:00Z

Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Finals does not require winning the Central Division (wild card teams can advance). Winning the Central Division does not mean winning the Conference Finals. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue