Pair #2168

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-DBUR

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Dean Burmester finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Dean Burmester
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 325

YES ask: 0.7500
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Dean Burmester finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-DBUR

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Dean Burmester finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Dean Burmester
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2430

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Dean Burmester finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: If Burmester finishes top 5, he necessarily also finishes top 10. The reverse is not true (could finish 6th-10th).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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