Pair #2165

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-MMEI

Valspar Championship: Will Mac Meissner finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Mac Meissner
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 646

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mac Meissner finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-MMEI

Valspar Championship: Will Mac Meissner finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Mac Meissner
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 517

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mac Meissner finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:05:31Z

Reasoning: Top 5 necessarily implies top 10. Top 10 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue