Pair #216

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-STL

Will St. Louis Blues win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: St. Louis Blues
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 6487

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If the St. Louis Blues win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-STL

Will the St. Louis Blues be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: St. Louis Blues
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 125054

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the St. Louis Blues are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:00Z

Reasoning: Winning the Central Division guarantees a playoff spot. Making the playoffs does not require winning the division (wild card). So Central win → playoff qualifier, but not vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T11:43:36Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue