Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHLCENTRAL-26-STL
Will St. Louis Blues win the NHL Central Division?
Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: St. Louis Blues
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 6487
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the St. Louis Blues win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-STL
Will the St. Louis Blues be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: St. Louis Blues
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 125054
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the St. Louis Blues are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:00Z
Reasoning: Winning the Central Division guarantees a playoff spot. Making the playoffs does not require winning the division (wild card). So Central win → playoff qualifier, but not vice versa.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A