Pair #2150

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-PNYH

Valspar Championship: Will Pontus Nyholm finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Pontus Nyholm
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 597

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pontus Nyholm finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-PNYH

Valspar Championship: Will Pontus Nyholm finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Pontus Nyholm
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2337

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pontus Nyholm finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:05:15Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. Finishing top 20 does not necessarily mean finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue