Pair #2141

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-GHIG

Valspar Championship: Will Garrick Higgo finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Garrick Higgo
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 375

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Garrick Higgo finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-GHIG

Valspar Championship: Will Garrick Higgo finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Garrick Higgo
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 349

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Garrick Higgo finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:04:59Z

Reasoning: If Higgo finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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