Pair #2134

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-DCHA

Valspar Championship: Will Davis Chatfield finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Davis Chatfield
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 562

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Chatfield finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-DCHA

Valspar Championship: Will Davis Chatfield make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Davis Chatfield
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 689

YES ask: 0.8600
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.7900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Chatfield makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:04:59Z

Reasoning: If Chatfield finishes top 10, he must have made the cut. Making the cut does not imply a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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