Pair #2127

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-DBRO

Valspar Championship: Will Daniel Brown finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Daniel Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 251

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Daniel Brown finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-DBRO

Valspar Championship: Will Daniel Brown finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Daniel Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 211

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Daniel Brown finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:04:40Z

Reasoning: A top-10 finish necessarily means finishing top 20. A top-20 finish does not imply a top-10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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