Pair #2124

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-KROY

Valspar Championship: Will Kevin Roy finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1362

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Roy finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-KROY

Valspar Championship: Will Kevin Roy make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 714

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Roy makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:04:40Z

Reasoning: A top-10 finish requires making the cut. Making the cut does not imply a top-10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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