Pair #2123

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-KROY

Will Kevin Roy win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7175

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kevin Roy wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-KROY

Valspar Championship: Will Kevin Roy make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 714

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kevin Roy makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:04:40Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires completing all rounds, so the winner must have made the cut. Making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue