Pair #2121

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-KROY

Valspar Championship: Will Kevin Roy finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1013

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Roy finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-KROY

Valspar Championship: Will Kevin Roy make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 714

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Roy makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:04:40Z

Reasoning: A top-5 finish requires completing all rounds, which means making the cut. Making the cut does not imply a top-5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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