Pair #2113

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VAC26-STHE

Will Sahith Theegala lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 550

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-STHE

Will Sahith Theegala win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2231588

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:04:24Z

Reasoning: These are entirely different tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical connection to leading after Round 2 of the Valspar Championship.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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