Pair #2111

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VAC26-STHE

Will Sahith Theegala lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 550

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-STHE

Valspar Championship: Will Sahith Theegala finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 45434

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:04:24Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 2 does not guarantee a top 20 finish, and finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 2. These are independent events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue