Pair #211

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-26-NYR

Will New York Rangers win the NHL Metropolitan Division?

Series: KXNHLMETROPOLITAN
Entity: New York Rangers
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1444

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the New York Rangers win the 2025-2026 NHL Metropolitan Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-NYR

Will the New York Rangers be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: New York Rangers
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 25724

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the New York Rangers are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:00Z

Reasoning: Winning the Metropolitan Division guarantees a playoff spot. However, making the playoffs does NOT require winning the division (wild card teams qualify without winning their division). So division win → playoff qualifier, but not vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T11:12:15Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue