Pair #2109

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-VWHA

Will Vince Whaley win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4715

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Vince Whaley wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-VWHA

Valspar Championship: Will Vince Whaley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 908

YES ask: 0.9600
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Vince Whaley makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:04:24Z

Reasoning: To win the tournament, Whaley must have made the cut. Winning implies making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue