Pair #2101

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-TKAN

Valspar Championship: Will Takumi Kanaya finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Takumi Kanaya
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6912

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Takumi Kanaya finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-TKAN

Valspar Championship: Will Takumi Kanaya make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Takumi Kanaya
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 224

YES ask: 0.4000
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.4100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Takumi Kanaya makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:04:05Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires making the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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