Pair #2096

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-ECOL

Valspar Championship: Will Eric Cole finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 260

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Eric Cole finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-ECOL

Valspar Championship: Will Eric Cole make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 617

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Eric Cole makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:04:05Z

Reasoning: If Eric Cole finishes top 10, he must have made the cut to play the final rounds. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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