Pair #2093

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-ECOL

Valspar Championship: Will Eric Cole finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 594

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Eric Cole finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-ECOL

Valspar Championship: Will Eric Cole make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 617

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Eric Cole makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:03:40Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 requires completing all rounds, which means making the cut. Making the cut does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue