Pair #2091

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-ECOL

Valspar Championship: Will Eric Cole finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 260

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Eric Cole finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-ECOL

Valspar Championship: Will Eric Cole finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4212

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Eric Cole finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:03:40Z

Reasoning: Top 10 necessarily means top 20. Top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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