Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-VAC26-JSUB
Will Jackson Suber win the Valspar Championship?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jackson Suber
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 613
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jackson Suber wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-JSUB
Valspar Championship: Will Jackson Suber make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jackson Suber
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1606
YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jackson Suber makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:03:40Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires playing all rounds, which means making the cut. Making the cut does not imply winning.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.2100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A