Pair #2084

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-JSUB

Valspar Championship: Will Jackson Suber finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jackson Suber
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 277

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Suber finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-JSUB

Valspar Championship: Will Jackson Suber finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jackson Suber
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 779

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Suber finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:03:40Z

Reasoning: If Suber finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold (top 20 does not guarantee top 10).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue