Pair #2053

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-CRAM

Valspar Championship: Will Chad Ramey finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chad Ramey
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3176

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chad Ramey finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-CRAM

Valspar Championship: Will Chad Ramey finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chad Ramey
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4240

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chad Ramey finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:02:22Z

Reasoning: If Chad Ramey finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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