Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP5-VAC26-GWOO
Valspar Championship: Will Gary Woodland finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8668
YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Gary Woodland finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-GWOO
Valspar Championship: Will Gary Woodland make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1525
YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Gary Woodland makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:02:22Z
Reasoning: If Gary Woodland finishes top 5, he must have made the cut. You cannot finish top 5 without making the cut.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.7900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A