Pair #2048

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-GWOO

Valspar Championship: Will Gary Woodland finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13184

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-GWOO

Valspar Championship: Will Gary Woodland make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1525

YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:02:22Z

Reasoning: If Gary Woodland finishes top 20, he must have made the cut to play the weekend rounds and achieve that finish. You cannot finish top 20 without making the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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