Pair #2044

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLHART-26-KKUC

Who will win Hart Memorial Trophy?

Series: KXNHLHART
Entity: Nikita Kucherov
Expiration: 2026-06-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 364279

YES ask: 0.6800
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nikita Kucherov wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLRICHARD-26-NKUC

Who will win Maurice "Rocket" Richard Trophy?

Series: KXNHLRICHARD
Entity: Nikita Kucherov
Expiration: 2026-06-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 466

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nikita Kucherov wins the NHL Maurice "Rocket" Richard Award in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:02:01Z

Reasoning: The Hart Trophy (league MVP) and the Maurice Richard Trophy (most goals scored) are awarded for entirely different criteria. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4800
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.19%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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