Pair #204

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLATLANTIC-26-BOS

Will Boston Bruins win the NHL Atlantic Division?

Series: KXNHLATLANTIC
Entity: Boston Bruins
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 12005

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If the Boston Bruins win the 2025-2026 NHL Atlantic Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLEAST-26-BOS

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Boston Bruins
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 200889

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Boston Bruins wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:03:41Z

Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals does not require winning the Atlantic Division (wild card teams can advance). Winning the Atlantic Division does not guarantee winning the ECF.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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