Pair #2028

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-DPUI

Will David Puig win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: David Puig
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 171540

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0600

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Rules

If David Puig wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-DPUI

LIV Golf South Africa: Will David Puig finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: David Puig
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5624

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Puig finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:42Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 10. So a win necessitates a top 10 finish. But a top 10 finish does not necessitate a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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