Pair #2025

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-BAN

Will Byeong Hun An win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Byeong Hun An
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3408

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Byeong Hun An wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-BAN

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Byeong Hun An finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Byeong Hun An
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 525

YES ask: 0.3000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Byeong Hun An finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:42Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 5. So a win necessitates a top 5 finish. But a top 5 finish does not necessitate a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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