Pair #2019

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-BDEC

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2316

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.7600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-BDEC

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 28452

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:25Z

Reasoning: LIV Golf South Africa is not a PGA Tour major. A top 5 finish there has no logical bearing on winning a major, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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