Pair #2017

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-BDEC

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2316

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.7600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-BDEC

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 8434

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:25Z

Reasoning: LIV Golf South Africa is not one of the four major tournaments. A top 5 finish there has no logical bearing on finishing top 10 in all four majors, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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