Pair #2016

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-BDEC

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2316

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.7600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 18818648

YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9930
Last: 0.0080

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:25Z

Reasoning: LIV Golf South Africa and the Masters are entirely separate tournaments. A top 5 in one does not imply anything about the other, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2480
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue