Pair #2015

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-BHEL

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Bjorn Hellgren finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Bjorn Hellgren
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1018

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bjorn Hellgren finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-BHEL

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Bjorn Hellgren finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Bjorn Hellgren
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 650

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bjorn Hellgren finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:25Z

Reasoning: If Hellgren finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10. The reverse does not hold — he could finish 6th-10th.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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